Judging by the preponderance of retail sales offers throughout November in my email inbox, the rise and rise of ‘Black Friday’ should completely randomise the precise timing of this year’s Christmas retail spending. Similarly for those who think about financial markets, the three percent rise in pan-European indices during the eleventh month of this year – particularly when mated with the very low levels of volatility seen across the prices of many asset classes during the month – appears to have also pulled forward the traditional ‘Santa rally’.
Rotation should be a beautiful word for investors
October historically has always been a big month for investors. In my formative years back in the 1980s during one October, there was a major market crash (and weirdly simultaneously in the U.K. an extreme weather event in southern England), meanwhile those interested in older historical events will recall the events of October 1929 and the infamous capital market events back then. A lot has happened in the month of October that has just passed and whilst it is unlikely the history books will remember the tenth month of 2019 assertively, for investors thinking about prospects over the next year, it may have been critical.
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Back to school
I hope you enjoyed a good break over the summer holiday period, because there is a lot to think about over the final four months of 2019 and beyond.
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They just cannot get enough
The above is not a Presidential tweet but a musing from Donald rump’s time as a property baron and television personality. An experienced investor would undoubtedly agree – sometimes you have to walk away, take a loss or change a strategy.
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Investment Strategy Quarterly
Celebrating the 25-year anniversary of the Academy Award-winning movie Forrest Gump, we revisit many of the movie’s themes which remain relevant in today’s world. Forrest Gump’s mother always said that “Life was like a box of chocolates.” This memorable observation could just as easily be applied to the financial markets, as you never know what volatility-inducing headline you’re going to get next.
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Investment Strategy Quarterly – October 2017
October’s Quarterly Investment Strategy, produced by the Raymond James Investment Strategy Committee is now available.
This issue features the following:
- Investment Strategy Committee Meeting Recap
- Is the Bank of England on the Cusp of Tightening Policy?
- Federal Reserve Policy: What’s Next?
- Setting a Legacy: Mrs Merkel and the Future of Europe
- Low Volatility: All Quiet on the Market Front?
- Thinking about Q4: Should we Expect the Usual Seasonal Strength?
- Q&A: US Company Consolidation
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